Reference case library

Twelve complete pipelines. Zero inflated claims.

Each case contains a sealed graph, ShockScript, assumption register, model card, bounded results, intervention analysis, observability output, benchmark status, and recomputation-verified RiskPack.

12 scenario-only0 historically scoredassumed topologies

12 of 12

01scenario only

Maritime trade

Suez route closure re-stress

A forward-dated re-stress of a Suez route interruption across a deliberately assumed maritime-to-production dependency chain.

L 0.064C 0.064U 0.164
shippingroutetrade
Inspect evidence trail
02scenario only

Advanced manufacturing

Semiconductor capacity re-stress

A forward-dated semiconductor capacity stress across assumed fabrication, component, assembly, and production dependencies.

L 0.040C 0.040U 0.125
semiconductorsmanufacturingcapacity
Inspect evidence trail
03scenario only

Public health supply

Medical PPE demand re-stress

A forward-dated demand surge across an assumed personal-protective-equipment supply and care-delivery topology.

L 0.045C 0.045U 0.172
healthPPEdemand
Inspect evidence trail
04scenario only

Food and energy

Food, fertilizer, and energy compound re-stress

A compound forward stress joining assumed food, fertilizer, energy, logistics, and affordability dependencies.

L 0.064C 0.064U 0.141
foodfertilizerenergycompound
Inspect evidence trail
05scenario only

Climate and logistics

Panama Canal drought re-stress

A forward-dated transit-capacity stress linking an assumed canal constraint to shipping, inventories, production, and service levels.

L 0.030C 0.030U 0.069
climatecanalshipping
Inspect evidence trail
06scenario only

Geopolitics and shipping

Red Sea rerouting re-stress

A forward-dated shipping-route stress across assumed voyage-time, input, production, and delivery dependencies.

L 0.050C 0.050U 0.113
shippinggeopoliticsrerouting
Inspect evidence trail
07scenario only

Port infrastructure

Baltimore port access re-stress

A forward-dated port-access interruption across assumed terminal, automotive logistics, manufacturing, and delivery links.

L 0.069C 0.069U 0.180
portinfrastructurelogistics
Inspect evidence trail
08scenario only

Energy infrastructure

Hurricane refining re-stress

A forward-dated refining-capacity interruption across assumed fuel, transport, distribution, and essential-service links.

L 0.042C 0.042U 0.116
energyhurricanerefining
Inspect evidence trail
09scenario only

Minerals and technology

Critical-minerals export-control stress

A synthetic export-control stress across an assumed mineral, component, manufacturing, and infrastructure chain.

L 0.033C 0.033U 0.101
mineralstechnologyexport-controls
Inspect evidence trail
10scenario only

Financial and compliance operations

Sanctions-list change stress

A synthetic operational stress exploring how a sanctions-list change could affect assumed screening, payment, supplier, and delivery dependencies.

L 0.056C 0.056U 0.132
sanctionsfinancecompliance
Inspect evidence trail
11scenario only

Medicines

Drug-shortage re-stress

A forward-dated medicine-supply stress across assumed manufacturer, wholesaler, care-site, and treatment-access links.

L 0.066C 0.066U 0.170
medicineshortagehealth
Inspect evidence trail
12scenario only

Agriculture and trade

Food production and export-restriction compound stress

A synthetic compound stress linking assumed production loss and export restriction to processing, trade, distribution, and affordability.

L 0.057C 0.057U 0.128
foodtradecompound
Inspect evidence trail