Climate and logistics

Panama Canal drought re-stress

A forward-dated transit-capacity stress linking an assumed canal constraint to shipping, inventories, production, and service levels.

scenario onlyquasi historicalevidence required

Decision question

When does route diversification become preferable to inventory buffering under a canal-capacity constraint?

Context-only public reference; all topology and numeric parameters are explicit model assumptions.

Generated bounds

Lower0.030299

Central0.030299

Upper0.069050

Dimensionless weighted stress under declared assumptions—not a realized-loss estimate.

Artifact identity

Nodes / edges: 5 / 4
Snapshot: 81a67e3b7e0d296b8425cd4638bf494127b6d8f4b0f4dc942e73cf6e61ca609a
Observability: not cost effective

Context—not numeric evidence

Panama Canal Authority adapts to unprecedented challenges

This official/public page motivates the stress question. It does not provide the topology, weights, shock magnitude, intervention effects, or outcome labels.

Open Panama Canal Authority

Independent verification

Rebuild the complete evidence chain.

npm run cascadelens -- cases build panama-drought-restress
npm run cascadelens -- verify content/cases/panama-drought-restress/riskpack/

Download RiskPack