Interactive scenario compiler

Change an assumption. See the decision boundary move.

Switch among all 12 reviewed cases or import JSON, CSV, GraphML, and a ShockScript. User topology remains unverified; every result remains scenario-only.

ShockScript · 0.1.0

Suez route closure re-stress

scenario only

Reviewed case

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All topology and numeric parameters are declared assumptions. This run is not historically scored.

Shock magnitudeBounded magnitude of the primary stress operation.TransmissionShare of upstream stress passed across each eligible edge.

Frozen contract

Decision cutoff: 2026-08-12
Horizon: 90 days
Graph: 5 nodes / 4 edges
Engine: dependency_cascade

Bounded cascade result

Unknown links stay visible.

Verified precomputed result loaded.

Lower0.0644Observed and entity-reported edges · 90-day mean

Central0.0644Adds third-party verified edges · 90-day mean

Upper0.1636Adds extracted and inferred edges · 90-day mean

Decision gate

evidence required

Increase input buffer + Use alternate maritime routing

The numerically lowest upper-bound bundle is not promoted to an operational recommendation when intervention effects remain assumptions.

Pareto frontier

do nothing0 cost0.1636

buffer8 cost0.1289

reroute11 cost0.1239

buffer + reroute19 cost0.1031

Upper-bound affected nodes · mean / peak / end

Suez route0.3222 / 1.0000 / 0.0000
Time-sensitive maritime inputs0.2431 / 0.7544 / 0.0000
Import-dependent assembly0.1475 / 0.4578 / 0.0000
Regional distribution0.0859 / 0.2665 / 0.0000
Downstream market availability0.0451 / 0.1399 / 0.0000

Lower and central results can exclude imported or model-inferred dependency edges. Upper results add those assumed links. Values are dimensionless stress indices; gaps between bounds show evidence eligibility, not statistical confidence.